First things first, contrary to what
the title suggests, I am not a proponent of Performance Enhancing Drug
use. I think it is unethical and one of
the lowest things you can do WITHIN the game of baseball. Also, if you asked me to pick a Cabrera I’d
want on my team, I’d pick Melky over Miggy.
Miggy drank and drove putting innocent people at risk and has been
accused of domestic battery. Despite all of Melky’s flaws , I love the
acquisition and I don’t worry much about the drop off in production post-PED
use.
Looking at Melky Cabrera’s skill set that he doesn't rely on
power, his ISO the last 2 years has been higher (.164 and .170) but even before
his terrible season with the Braves he posted a .142 ISO. Some of the Melk Mans detractors point out
that he has had inflated batting averages on balls in play over the last 2
seasons (.352). Melky hits lots of
ground balls, nearly 50% for his career.
That factor combined with the turf at Rogers Center should/could lead to
a higher than normal BABIP.
One of Melky’s strengths is his plate discipline, he has
decent on base skills (7.3% career walk rate), and doesn't strike out a tonne
(12.1%) and those rates have been fairly consistent year to year. His whiff rate is very low (5.5%) despite a
slightly higher than average out of zone swing rate, but he makes great contact
on pitches out of the zone, and has good results compared to normal, on pitches
out of the zone.
All said and done, Melky doesn't have to be great to live up
to his contract, he basically just has to go out there and be a league average
LF. If he’s more than that, and I
believe he will be, it’s a great sign.
If all he is, is his 2009 season, he’ll still be a worth his
contract. His skill set doesn't lend
itself to being a product of his PED use, but we don’t truly know the impact of
PED’s really. That is one of the reasons I am looking at the glass of Melk half
full. I’ll show myself out now.
Everyone keeps saying Melky just needs to be league average. I cant see him doing that, that seems like the low end of my expectation. Melky's only problem was becoming good friends with A-Rod. LOL
ReplyDeletePeople keep throwing "PED" around, he tested positive for a banned substance.
ReplyDelete